Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.030992 0.036257 0.042063 0.048932 0.056823 0.065593 0.076067
2025-07-06 0.022778 0.029514 0.037650 0.048154 0.061308 0.077183 0.097733
2025-07-13 0.018703 0.026485 0.036649 0.050786 0.069818 0.094406 0.128410
2025-07-20 0.015516 0.023794 0.035385 0.052603 0.077286 0.111104 0.160580
2025-07-27 0.012327 0.020367 0.032378 0.051328 0.080095 0.121649 0.185579
2025-08-03 0.010120 0.017905 0.030241 0.050796 0.083640 0.133362 0.213324
2025-08-10 0.008202 0.015491 0.027704 0.049124 0.085023 0.141777 0.236831
2025-08-17 0.006779 0.013614 0.025684 0.047882 0.086759 0.150705 0.261834
2025-08-24 0.005829 0.012392 0.024553 0.047914 0.090492 0.163072 0.293450
2025-08-31 0.004887 0.010994 0.022858 0.046640 0.091697 0.171200 0.318626
2025-09-07 0.004487 0.010602 0.022982 0.048724 0.099140 0.190748 0.365257
2025-09-14 0.003934 0.009778 0.022116 0.048744 0.102673 0.203596 0.401099
2025-09-21 0.003325 0.008721 0.020634 0.047373 0.103464 0.211709 0.429543
2025-09-28 0.002868 0.007923 0.019573 0.046720 0.105595 0.222556 0.464191
2025-10-05 0.002702 0.007804 0.020000 0.049334 0.114760 0.247932 0.529152
2025-10-12 0.002497 0.007545 0.020060 0.051132 0.122391 0.270965 0.591563
2025-10-19 0.002147 0.006819 0.018884 0.049904 0.123256 0.280271 0.627152
2025-10-26 0.001883 0.006275 0.018063 0.049393 0.125642 0.292926 0.670707
2025-11-02 0.001606 0.005628 0.016865 0.047767 0.125234 0.299524 0.702038
2025-11-09 0.001387 0.005102 0.015892 0.046559 0.125646 0.307904 0.737867
2025-11-16 0.001242 0.004778 0.015422 0.046591 0.129063 0.323286 0.790320
2025-11-23 0.001074 0.004336 0.014531 0.045349 0.129134 0.330989 0.826198
2025-11-30 0.001023 0.004288 0.014802 0.047380 0.137832 0.359623 0.912216